The Democrat became the state's first Black lieutenant governor when he took office in 2019. The Nov. 8 election is a little more than two weeks away, and we're wrapping up our coverage of the candidates . For questions or comments, contact WPRs Audience Services at 1-800-747-7444, email listener@wpr.org or use our Listener Feedback form. Legal Statement. In response to the August polls, a spokesperson for Barnes' campaign said the results show that "Wisconsin voters know how Ron Johnson has spent his decade-plus in office enriching himself and his wealthy donors on the backs of their hard work.". Johnson got a boost from voters'. Voters in Wisconsin grade President Biden's performance, criticize and defend him on top issues, Gavin Newsom attacks federal judge overseeing California's assault weapons ban: 'This sickens me', NRSC launches funds to give Republican Senate candidates a 'war chest' for key 2024 Senate races, House Republicans slam DOD's 'unacceptable' delay in providing answers on improper release of military records, Biden admin rolls out cybersecurity strategy aimed at thwarting borderless cyber threats, ransomware. Lt. Gov. Despite it being the number one issue for voters in several recent polls, however, the candidates were not asked a direct . making false or misleading claims about the shots, Johnson has hired one of Wisconsin's 10 fake electors, most expensive election contests in the country, settle the abortion issue via a direct referendum, Bernie Sanders endorses Mandela Barnes for US Senate, Ron Johnson calls for annual approval of Social Security, Medicare funding, Democratic Lt. Gov. More from. In his order, Judge Juan Colas wrote that Wisconsin elections have been conducted for 56 years without a legally binding definition of what constitutes a witness address on a ballot. Stay up to date with what you want to know. Mandela Barnes on Tuesday. Johnson also holds a 2-point lead over Barnes in favorability ratings among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the Republican and 44 percent saying the same of the Democrat. Analyzing the Wisconsin Senate and governor's races, the poll found both races deadlocked: Mr Barnes trails incumbent Sen Ron Johnson by. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. | Morry Gash/Associated Press. Part of the shift can be attributed to likely independent voters. In order to do so, the Republican-controlled state Legislature would need to pass a constitutional amendment. The 2016 Marquette poll showed a full 30 percent of respondents didn't know enough about Johnson to form a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him. Senator Ron Johnson 's support appears to be slipping with Wisconsin voters entering the closing months of the state's midterm elections, a new poll says. (AP Photo/Morry Gash). Recent polling shows Lt. Gov. 33. ", "And if anybody wants predictions, my advice would be just flip a coin and you've got a 50/50 chance of being right," Lee said. . The margins of error for registered voters and likely voters are +/- 4.3% and +/-4.8% respectively. Wisconsin Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Lt. Gov. The. But Evers' approval rating remains above water. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. If Barnes were to win, he'd become Wisconsin's first Black senator. With less than 100 days to go before the . GOP Sen. Ron Johnson has won re-election to a third term in Wisconsin, NBC News projects, narrowly defeating Democrat Mandela Barnes. He said the August polling results from multiple sources show him "this is a very competitive race and Democrats have a compelling opportunity to unseat Ron Johnson.". 'The most vulnerable Republican incumbent' The Barnes strategy is to define Johnson as a changed man, someone who went to Washington as an insurgent candidate but then enmeshed himself into the. Barnes' campaign, and other Democratic strategists, viewed the poll as an outlier. For weeks, Wisconsin Republican Senator Ron Johnson and his allies have been running a set of attack ads against Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes about crime.One ad focuses on violent crime . Approximately 50% of likely voters said they support Johnson in the race, compared to 48% for Barnes, according to the Marquette poll of 679 likely voters. According to exit polls, nearly equal shares of voters in Wisconsin mentioned honesty and integrity as the most important candidate quality (36%) as sharing values with voters (35%). 1:51 Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has surged to a 6-point lead in his reelection race against Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes, according to Wednesday's Marquette University Law. Johnson's latest margin wasin line withhis two-point lead over Barnes in a Nov. 2 Marquette University Law School poll. 2023 by Wisconsin Public Radio, a service of the Wisconsin Educational Communications Board and the University of Wisconsin-Madison. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. However, the most recent polling for the race suggests that Barnes is narrowly ahead of the incumbent. ", Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., speaks to supporters after arriving at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. While Johnson has outperformed polls before, political experts note unique challenges this election cycle. Johnson is running for reelection to a third term, while Barnes hopes to topple the GOP. That ruling meant Wisconsins near-total abortion ban from 1849 went into effect over the summer. Vote preference includes those who say they are undecided but who say they lean toward a candidate. All rights reserved. Incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is widening the gap over his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes, in Wisconsins Senate race, a new poll from Marquette Law School found. Wisconsin Lt. Gov. "In 2016, they were almost all wrong and Ron Johnson pulled off the biggest surprise in Wisconsin Political History," said the statement. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. "There is no path mathematically for Lt. Gov. Liberal groups in Wisconsin seeking to change rules governing absentee ballots suffered a blow this week after an appeals court and a circuit judge ruled that ballots cannot contain partial addresses of witnesses. An older poll, conducted last September by Clarity Campaign Labs for Barnes' campaign, showed the Democrat tied with Johnson. Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes in tight Senate race in Wisconsin CBS News Battleground Tracker poll. Barnes focused much of his closing message hammering Johnson over his opposition to abortion rights an issue Democrats across the country had hoped would energize their base in the midterms following the Supreme Courts reversal of Roe v. Wade in June. "Truth has prevailed over lies and the politics of personal destruction. Trump successfully chilled FBI from being willing to investigate anything Bill Maher: I am afraid of Trump on a very personal level, The Memo: Lightfoot is latest Democrat to fall to anger over crime, Trumps polling strength causes heartburn for Senate GOP, The shepherd boy, the wolf and the threat to Israeli democracy. Through late October, super PACs, politically active nonprofit organizations, and other non-candidate groups combined to spend an additional $112.9 million advocating for or against the candidates. Outagamie County Executive Tom Nelson suspended his Senate campaign on Monday, followed by Milwaukee Bucks executive Alex Lasry on Wednesday. Johnson has maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the. Republican Sen. Ron Johnson, who was first elected during the conservative Tea Party wave in 2010, defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. "We feel very confident that there's no way that they can really make up that gap. Barnes had also attempted to undercut Johnsons claims that he supports law enforcement by repeatedly pointing out that he downplayed the Jan. 6 riot, in which police were overrun and in some cases brutally beaten by a pro-Trump mob. With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson is running for reelection against Democratic Lt. Gov. The Democrat's lead was just outside the survey's 3 percent margin of error. Both the Senate and gubernatorial races remain highly partisan. Democratic candidate Mandela Barnes, the state's. These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates McCarthy, GOP pump brakes on release of Jan. 6 footage to Tucker Carlson, Christie: Trump grand jury foreperson did a lot of damage to case. The Marquette Law School survey has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters compared with Barnes 46 percent. Updated on: November 9, 2022 / 11:38 AM Lt. Gov. Barnes was supported by 46 percent of registered Wisconsin voters, and the senator was backed by just 44 percent. Johnson maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the Senate. On two large screens, the audience at the Johnson event quietly watched Fox News election coverage and let out loud groans and boos when Democrats were projected to win other high-profile federal races. In 2016, Trump secured just 46.5 percent of Wisconsin's votes. A survey conducted by Marquette Law School from June 14 to 20 showed Johnson behind the Democratic challenger by 2 points. Tommy's Lounge, a vital lifeline to former forces personnel. Lt. Gov. Sen. Ron Johnson is leading Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes in a new poll of the Wisconsin Senate race released Wednesday. That number had fallen to 9 percent in Marquette's Aug. 17 poll. Poll: Ron Johnson widens lead over Mandela Barnes in Wisconsin Senate race The Marquette Law School survey has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters compared with. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, A Fox News poll released Aug. 18 had Barnes with 50 percent of the support of likely voters and Johnson trailing with 46 percent. 2016: Johnson (R) +3.4|2010: Johnson (R) +4.9, Senate Map,Polls,Projection|House Map,Polls,GenericVote|Governor Map,Polls,Projection|2022,'24 Polls, Senate Map,Polls,Projection|House Map,Polls,Generic Ballot|Governor Map,Polls,Projection|2022,'24 Polls, RCP Average:Johnson +3.6RCP Ranking:Toss UpRCP Projection:GOP HoldKey 2022 Races:Governor|Senate|WI-3, 2020:President|WI-32018:Governor|Senate|WI-1|WI-32016:President|Senate|WI-82014:Governor|WI-6|WI-72012:President|Governor (Recall)|Senate|WI-7|WI-82010:Governor|Senate|WI-3|WI-7|WI-8, All Wisconsin Senate - Johnson vs. Barnes Polling Data. Barnes, the current lieutenant governor of Wisconsin, leads Johnson 51% to 44%, up from a narrow two-point lead he held in June, when polls showed Barnes had the support of 46% voters in. A previous April survey by Marquette Law School showed that half of Wisconsin's voters did not believe Johnson actually cared about them. Copyright 2023 CBS Interactive Inc. All rights reserved. MADISON, Wis. (AP) U.S. Senate Republican Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes got personal in their final debate Thursday before the Nov. 8 election, with each candidate . Tony Evers 50% to 47%, the AARP Wisconsin . MIDTERM STUDY FINDS MAINSTREAM MEDIA GAVE REPUBLICANS 87% MORE NEGATIVE COVERAGE THAN DEMOCRATS. Since then, Johnson has hired one of Wisconsin's 10 fake electors to work for his reelection campaign, and he's spent more than $20,000 for legal consultation with a Wisconsin law firm that assisted former President Donald Trump's efforts to overturn the state's 2020 election results. While Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes is narrowly preferred over incumbent Ron Johnson in the Wisconsin Senate race, Johnson's supporters have the enthusiasm. In an eight-candidate field, where several rivals were still actively campaigning, Barnes won more than 77 percent of the vote. The two candidates are scheduled to hold their second and final televised debate on Thursday. Mandela Barnes is leading in recent polls against the pro-Trump senator, whose positions on abortion and same-sex marriage, as well as . Market data provided by Factset. Incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is widening the gap over his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes, in Wisconsin's Senate race, a new poll from Marquette Law School found. The lieutenant governor joined supporters in Milwaukee at noon to make remarks on the U.S. Senate race. On Jan. 9, he announced a run for a third term, stating his decision to do so was based on a belief that "America is in peril. Johnson had built a small lead in most polls over Barnes though within the margin of error after he began his relentless focus on crime, and his victory suggests the strategy was a success. The man leading the charge to unseat Johnson this year is the polar opposite of the millionaire Boomer conservative: Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes, a 35-year-old Black former community organizer. A new poll released Wednesday by Marquette University Law School shows 49 percent of voters support Johnson's reelection to a third term. Morry Gash/Associated Press His campaign focused heavily on promises to protect abortion rights and Social Security benefits. Independent candidate Joan Beglinger who ended her campaign in September but will still be on the ballot garnered 4% in the poll, while 1% of respondents said they were undecided. The new survey found Johnson up just 1 percentage point among likely Wisconsin voters, with 50 percent saying theyd learn toward the Republican if the election were held today and 49 percent saying the same of Barnes. Barnes led Johnson 49.4 percent to 47.1 percent. Lasry, Mandela's next leading opponent in the Democratic senate primary, does not beat Johnson in a head to head. The incumbents leads were reversed, however, when the CNN poll results were expanded to include all registered voters in the state. Get browser notifications for breaking news, live events, and exclusive reporting. Stay informed with WPR's email newsletter. "So, I think that's what I'm watching most.". For questions or comments, contact WPRs Audience Services at 1-800-747-7444, email listener@wpr.org or use our Listener Feedback form. Notably, the margin of error was 4.5 percentage points. Nearly all of the likely voters, or 94 percent, said their minds were made up about their chosen candidate, leaving 6 percent who might change their mind before the November election. The 2022 Wisconsin gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Wisconsin.Incumbent Democratic governor Tony Evers won re-election to a 2nd term, defeating Republican nominee, Tim Michels.. As Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes ran for the U.S. Senate in the concurrent election, a new Democratic running mate, state assemblywoman Sara Rodriguez, was nominated in . The Republicans in both races hold a lead among independent voters, with Michels squeaking out a 1 point lead (44 percent to Evers 43) and Johnson dominating with 51 percent to Barnes 45. Barnes' campaign and allied outside Democratic groups launched a series of attacks against Johnson painting him as an out-of-touch millionaire who worked to secure tax cuts for himself and billionaire donors in 2017. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. The Marquette poll found that more voters had a favorable opinion of him than not, but 30 percent said they haven't heard enough about Barnes. State Treasurer Sarah Godlewski followed suit on Friday, saying that the Democratic Party should be united going into the election. ", Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson is increasing his lead over Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes concedes US Senate race to Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, Sarah Godlewski exits Democratic US Senate primary, clearing the path for Mandela Barnes, After clearing Democratic field in US Senate Race, Mandela Barnes faces toughest battle of political career, Evers proposes $750M for broadband expansion amid massive federal investment in high-speed internet, Evers proposes $3.8B in state building projects. Barnes, 35, has seen his chances of unseating Sen. Johnson shrink by the day as crime becomes the central focus of their Senate race The state's other senator, Tammy Baldwin, is a Democrat as well. Lt. Gov. But I just want to give you guys the sense that this race is over.". Johnson has downplayed the violent insurrection at the U.S. Capitol that day on Jan. 6, where Trump supporters assaulted Capitol police officers as they tried to stop Congress from certifying President Joe Biden's 2020 victory. their first televised debate, held on Friday, discussing, have hammered Barnes and other Democratic candidates, What we learned from the NBC News Fetterman interview, Midterm elections roundup: Arizona debate debacle, California poll: Homelessness is most urgent issue in the state. Republicans have hammered Barnes and other Democratic candidates on crime in recent weeks, while Democrats see abortion rights as an issue that will energize their base in November. Ukraine News. Among those citing integrity as most important, Barnes won 54% of the vote, while among those saying a candidate who shares values with them is most important, 60% voted for Johnson. In the new poll, registered Wisconsin voters said the issue they were most concerned about was inflation, followed by public schools, gun violence, abortion policy and crime. Barnes appeared with Lasry and Godlewski as they made their announcements, praising their campaigns. Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you're on the go. The latest Marquette Law School poll also found the race for governor has tightened in the pivotal battleground state. Just more than 3 percent of those surveyed were undecided. Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will become the Democratic Party's nominee to face off against GOP Senator Ron Johnson in November after his top opponents dropped out and endorsed his campaign this weekwith polls suggesting the liberal candidate has a slim advantage. Mandela Barnes - Feb 1st, 2022 Re-election Bid Just the Latest Lie From Ron Johnson - A . Those results weren't far off from a Marquette University Law School poll on Aug. 17, showing Barnes beating Johnson 51 percent to 44 percent among likely midterm voters. A Fox News poll released Aug. 18 had Barnes with 50 percent of the support of likely voters and Johnson trailing with 46 percent. US Congress; Getty; Marianne Ayala/Insider, Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. At the beginning of the election cycle, Johnson was seen as one of the most vulnerable Republican incumbents in the U.S. Senate. Johnson also holds a 2-point lead over Barnes in favorability ratings among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the Republican and 44 percent saying the same. Utah wildlife officials suggest catching this tasty invasive species, Oregon lawmakers propose bill that would give $1K per month to homeless people, Why Michigan Republicans are fretting about 2024, Democrats plot effort to counter Tucker Carlson on Jan. 6 narrative, Ticketmaster, PayPal, eBay are hassling customers to report sales even though the IRS says they dont have to, Biden to trigger tax fight Senate Democrats dont want, To topple Trump, GOP challengers lean on personality over policy, Pence disagrees with Haleys call for competency tests: The American people can sort that out, Biden mocks Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene: Isnt she amazing?. The poll surveyed 803 registered voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percent. The poll from Marquette Law School suggests Johnson, a two-term incumbent, is leading Barnes, the states lieutenant governor, among likely voters by 6 percentage points 52% to 46%. We want to bring transparency to the elections process by shining a light on how campaigns and outside groups are using political mailers to talk to voters. The AP called the race after Johnson claimed his win earlier in the morning and other national media outlets such as NBC News,CBS News, and CNN projected Johnson would win. Sign up now! NBC News projects Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin wins re-election, unrelenting attacks against Barnes on crime. Incumbent Sen. RonJohnson(R-Wis.) and Democratic challenger MandelaBarnes are neck and neck in Wisconsins Senate race, according to a new CNN poll. There is no path mathematically for Lt. Gov. Yorkshire Post. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., poses for photos with supporters at a election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. "Now, that's what Democrats have been doing to Ron Johnson for nearly two years," said Lee. Democrat Russ Feingold held the seat now occupied by Johnson from 1993 until he was defeated by the Republican in 2010. Recent polling shows Lt. Gov. The Associated Press called the race for Johnson at 11:46 a.m. Wednesday as the senator led Barnes by 27,374 votes. In 2020, now-President Joe Biden won Wisconsin by roughly 20,000 votes out of nearly 3.3 million ballots cast. Barnes enjoyed a 4-point lead over Johnson if the election were held today among all registered voters, and a 2-point lead in favorability. Johnson has outperformed polls before, but political experts note added challenges this election cycle. In response, Johnson said he would like to see Wisconsin's 1849 abortion ban changed to allow exemptions for instances of rape and incest. The poll from Marquette Law School suggests Johnson, a. In Wisconsin 's Senate race between Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. Barnes sought to portray himself as a stronger advocate of the state's working-class citizens. Washington Patty Murray (D) vs. Tiffany Smiley (R) 35. Some ads focused on positions Barnes had taken or statements he had made such as his support for ending cash bail and saying that reducing prison populations is now sexy while others made misleading claims about his tenure as the state's lieutenant governor, like accusing his administration of having paroled hundreds of violent offenders. This week . Marquette polled 801 registered voters via phone interviews from Oct. 3-9 (652 of those are considered likely voters), with more than half of the interviews coming before last Friday's debate. Both politicians were backed by 43 percent of likely voters. Ron Johnson Dramatically Underperforms in First Finance Report Since Announcing for Reelection - Lt. Gov. "But what I will say, unfortunately, it's still so close. Editor's note: WPR's Jonah Chester, Joe Schulz and Andrea Anderson contributed reporting to this story. Market data provided by Factset. AP Photo/Mike Roemer, "We've looked very closely at the numbers," said Johnson. Johnson promised to be a "citizen legislator" and serve just two terms. The Marquette Law Poll was conducted from Oct. 24 to Nov. 1 via landline and cell phone. Johnson leads with men and older voters.. Johnson has long been known as a polarizing and controversial figure in politics who made headlines for pushing drugs like hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin as early treatment options during the COVID-19 pandemic. The U.S. Senate race in the battleground state of Wisconsin is among closely watched contests on the national scene as Republicans hoped to gain seats in the U.S. House and Senate. National media reports say the red wave that Republicans hoped for in this years midterm elections has been downgraded to more of a trickle. Reach her at caitlin.yilek@cbsinteractive.com. The Wisconsin Senate race is a virtual toss-up, with Republican Sen. Ron Johnson edging Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes within the margin of error in a Marquette University Law School poll. Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more Fox News politics content. Mandela Barnes during a debate on Oct. 7. U.S. Senate candidates Mandela Barnes and Ron Johnson sparred over a wide range of issues - everything from decriminalizing marijuana and immigration to the minimum wage, abortion and crime - during their first debate leading up to the 2022 fall midterm election.. The race between Johnson and Barnes was rated as "tilt Republican" by Inside Elections, a "toss-up" by The Cook Political Report, and "leans Republican" by Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. The results are a jump from September, when polls showed Johnson polling just 1 percentage point ahead of Barnes, but are still within the surveys margin of sampling error. Election were held today among all registered voters in the a service of the of... 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